UEFA Nations League

France vs Italy

Fri, 2nd Oct, 2026

•

19:45 PM

TIP: Home(1)
Home Match Details

France vs Italy Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

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France

October 2nd, 2026

1 - 1

Home(1)
? ? ? ? ?

Italy

Home

Draw

Away

65.4
1.45
20.0
4.75
14.6
6.50

Betting Markets & Predictions

Home -1.25

48.7%

odds 1.98

Away -1.25

51.3%

odds 1.88

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Over 8.5

53.6%

Under 8.5

46.4%

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Ousmane Dembele 1.91 52.4%
Esteban Lepaul 2.1 47.6%
Bradley Barcola 2.4 41.7%
Desire Doue 2.4 41.7%
Michael Olise 2.6 38.5%

Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (independent market, not devigged against other players).

H2H

Previous Matches

L

Italy

1 - 3

17/11/2024

France

W
L

France

1 - 3

06/09/2024

Italy

W
W

France

3 - 1

01/06/2018

Italy

L
L

France

0 - 2

17/06/2008

Italy

W

last five matches

France

Previous Matches

D

1 - 1

Vs

Italy

02/10/2026

W

0 - 1

Vs

Belgium

28/09/2026

W

0 - 1

Vs

Türkiye

25/09/2026

L

4 - 6

Vs

England

18/07/2026

L

0 - 2

Vs

Spain

14/07/2026

W

2 - 0

Vs

Morocco

09/07/2026

W

0 - 1

Vs

Paraguay

04/07/2026

W

3 - 0

Vs

Sweden

30/06/2026

W

1 - 4

Vs

Norway

26/06/2026

W

3 - 0

Vs

Iraq

22/06/2026

Italy

Previous Matches

D

1 - 1

Vs

France

02/10/2026

W

1 - 4

Vs

Türkiye

28/09/2026

L

0 - 2

Vs

Belgium

25/09/2026

W

0 - 1

Vs

Greece

07/06/2026

W

0 - 1

Vs

Luxembourg

03/06/2026

W

2 - 0

Vs

Northern Ireland

26/03/2026

L

1 - 4

Vs

Norway

16/11/2025

W

0 - 2

Vs

Moldova

13/11/2025

W

3 - 0

Vs

Israel

14/10/2025

W

1 - 3

Vs

Estonia

11/10/2025

league table

Team

P

W

D

L

GD

Pts

1 France

3

2

1

0

2

7

2 Belgium

3

2

0

1

4

6

3 Italy

3

1

1

1

1

4

4 Türkiye

3

0

0

3

-7

0

Match Centre

669 Passes accurate 330
8 Shots insidebox 10
10 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Blocked Shots 6
10 Free Kicks 9
8 Shots on Goal 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
4 Shots off Goal 6
1 Offsides 3
726 Total passes 391
1 Red Cards 0
18 Total Shots 14
6 Corner Kicks 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
9 Fouls 10
65% Ball Possession 35%
54' 🟨 Nicolo Fagioli (Italy)
55' ⚽ Michael Olise (France)
62' 🔄 Pio Esposito (Italy)
62' 🔄 Sandro Tonali (Italy)
68' ⚽ Alessandro Bastoni (Italy)
73' 🟨 Dayot Upamecano (France)
73' 🟨 Moise Kean (Italy)
76' 🔄 Désiré Doue (France)
76' 🔄 Rayan Cherki (France)
80' 🔄 Sebastiano Esposito (Italy)
80' 🔄 Davide Frattesi (Italy)
82' 🟨 Antonio Vergara (Italy)
85' 🟥 Dayot Upamecano (France)
87' 🔄 Lucas Da Cunha (France)
90' 🔄 Nicolo Fagioli (Italy)
90' 🟨 Alessandro Bastoni (Italy)
Under Over

Recent Goal Lines

France Italy

Under 2   Over 4

67%

1.5

Goals

Under 2   Over 4

67%

Under 5   Over 1

83%

2.5

Goals

Under 5   Over 1

83%

Under 5   Over 1

83%

3.5

Goals

Under 5   Over 1

83%

Both Scored (Yes/No)

Yes 2   No 4

67%

Yes 2   No 4

67%

Goals By Time Period

France

0'
15'
30'
4
HT
1
60'
2
75'
1
0'
2
15'
2
30'
1
HT
1
60'
2
75'

Italy

1
0'
3
15'
30'
3
HT
1
60'
1
75'
0'
1
15'
30'
2
HT
1
60'
75'

Avg. Event Time

Scored Conceded

France

0 15 30 HT 60 75 FT

Italy

0 15 30 HT 60 75 FT

Shots

Last 6 matches

France Avg. per game
Total shots 16.5
Blocked 4
48% off target 52% on target
56% inside box 44% outside box
Italy Avg. per game
Total shots 15.5
Blocked 4.33
55% off target 45% on target
75% inside box 25% outside box

Passes

France

Total 576.5
Accurate 514.5 (44%)
Possession 56%

Italy

Total 468.67
Accurate 401.67 (42%)
Possession 49%

Trends

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

France are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

France have scored in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

France

H · 05 Oct

Belgium

4/5

A · 12 Nov

Italy

2/5

H · 15 Nov

Türkiye

1/5

Italy

H · 05 Oct

Türkiye

1/5

H · 12 Nov

France

5/5

A · 15 Nov

Belgium

4/5

France vs Italy Prediction & Tips

France will host Italy in their UEFA Nations League encounter at Stade de France on October 2, 2026.

The home side have shown strong UEFA Nations League form, winning 100 percent of their last 2 UEFA Nations League matches this season.

Italy arrive in stronger recent form, with 1 wins from 2 UEFA Nations League fixtures and one victory in their previous 6 away games.

Of their last 4 meetings, France have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 against Italy.

Prediction: France to win with probability 67%.

M

Published by

Micah

Football Analyst & Predictor · Todayspredict