Liga MX

Leon vs Toluca

Sun, 25th Oct, 2026

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00:00 AM

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Home Match Details

Leon vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

? ? ? ? ?

Leon

October 25th, 2026

1 - 1

? ? ? ? ?

Toluca

Home

Draw

Away

25.6
3.70
24.9
3.80
49.5
1.91

Betting Markets & Predictions

Home -1.25

13.6%

odds 7

Away -1.25

86.4%

odds 1.1

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Over 9.5

55.7%

Under 9.5

44.3%

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Over 5.5

42.4%

Under 5.5

57.6%

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Fernandes Paulinho 1.91 52.4%
Federico Vinas 2.4 41.7%
Alexis Vega 2.6 38.5%
Diber Cambindo 2.6 38.5%
Jesus Ricardo Angulo 2.6 38.5%

Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (independent market, not devigged against other players).

H2H

Previous Matches

W

Toluca

2 - 0

03/09/2026

Leon

L
W

Toluca

4 - 1

26/04/2026

Leon

L
L

Leon

2 - 4

05/10/2025

Toluca

W
D

Leon

3 - 3

09/02/2025

Toluca

D
D

Toluca

2 - 2

02/11/2024

Leon

D
W

Toluca

4 - 1

03/02/2024

Leon

L
W

Leon

1 - 0

21/10/2023

Toluca

L
D

Toluca

0 - 0

29/01/2023

Leon

D
L

Leon

0 - 1

27/07/2022

Toluca

W

last five matches

Leon

Previous Matches

D

1 - 1

Vs

Toluca

24/10/2026

W

0 - 2

Vs

Tigres UANL

21/10/2026

L

3 - 5

Vs

Club America

18/10/2026

D

1 - 1

Vs

Puebla

10/10/2026

W

2 - 1

Vs

FC Juarez

28/09/2026

D

1 - 1

Vs

Club Queretaro

21/09/2026

W

2 - 0

Vs

Atletico San Luis

15/09/2026

L

3 - 1

Vs

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

11/09/2026

W

1 - 0

Vs

Club America

06/09/2026

L

2 - 0

Vs

Toluca

03/09/2026

Toluca

Previous Matches

D

1 - 1

Vs

Leon

24/10/2026

D

2 - 2

Vs

Club Tijuana

22/10/2026

D

1 - 1

Vs

Atletico San Luis

18/10/2026

L

3 - 2

Vs

Tigres UANL

10/10/2026

L

2 - 1

Vs

Monterrey

03/10/2026

D

3 - 3

Vs

Cruz Azul

26/09/2026

L

2 - 3

Vs

Santos Laguna

21/09/2026

W

0 - 1

Vs

Puebla

16/09/2026

W

5 - 2

Vs

Atlas

12/09/2026

W

2 - 0

Vs

Monterrey

07/09/2026

league table

Team

P

W

D

L

GD

Pts

1 Club America

13

8

3

2

15

27

2 Cruz Azul

14

8

2

4

9

26

3 Guadalajara Chivas

14

7

5

2

9

26

4 Atlas

14

7

3

4

-1

24

5 Toluca

14

6

5

3

10

23

6 Club Leon

14

6

4

4

3

22

7 Monterrey

13

6

2

5

5

20

8 Club Tijuana

13

5

5

3

4

20

9 Club Queretaro

13

6

2

5

-1

20

10 Santos Laguna

14

6

1

7

0

19

11 Atletico San Luis

14

5

4

5

-3

19

12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

14

4

5

5

-3

17

13 CF Pachuca

14

4

4

6

3

16

14 Puebla

14

4

4

6

-5

16

15 Tigres UANL

14

3

6

5

-4

15

16 Atlante FC

14

3

5

6

-6

14

17 Necaxa

14

2

4

8

-11

10

18 FC Juarez

14

1

2

11

-24

5

Match Centre

1.54 expected_goals 1.43
249 Passes accurate 489
12 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
14 Free Kicks 17
7 Shots on Goal 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
6 Shots off Goal 6
336 Total passes 568
16 Total Shots 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
3 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 5
17 Fouls 14
0 Red Cards 0
39% Ball Possession 61%
9' 🟨 Rodrigo Echeverría (Leon)
12' ⚽ Jose Alvarado (Leon)
27' 🟨 Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro (Toluca)
31' 🟨 Franco Romero (Toluca)
39' 🟨 Jose Alvarado (Leon)
44' ⚽ Federico Viñas (Toluca)
45' 🔄 Rodrigo Echeverría (Leon)
45' 🔄 Jose Alvarado (Leon)
62' 🔄 Edgar Guerra (Leon)
63' 🔄 Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro (Toluca)
63' 🔄 Fernando Beltran (Leon)
63' 🔄 Pavel Pérez (Toluca)
75' 🔄 Federico Viñas (Toluca)
75' 🔄 Daniel Arcila (Leon)
86' 🔄 Jorge Diaz (Toluca)
90' 🟨 Jesús Lara (Leon)
90' 🟨 Bruno Méndez (Toluca)
Under Over

Recent Goal Lines

Leon Toluca

Under 0   Over 6

100%

1.5

Goals

Under 0   Over 6

100%

Under 4   Over 2

67%

2.5

Goals

Under 2   Over 4

67%

Under 5   Over 1

83%

3.5

Goals

Under 3   Over 3

50%

Both Scored (Yes/No)

Yes 5   No 1

83%

Yes 6   No 0

100%

Goals By Time Period

Leon

0'
1
15'
30'
2
HT
60'
3
75'
0'
1
15'
1
30'
2
HT
60'
2
75'

Toluca

0'
15'
1
30'
1
HT
1
60'
75'
1
0'
15'
1
30'
1
HT
1
60'
75'

Avg. Event Time

Scored Conceded

Leon

0 15 30 HT 60 75 FT

Toluca

0 15 30 HT 60 75 FT

Shots

Last 2 matches

Leon Avg. per game
Total shots 14
Blocked 3.5
43% off target 57% on target
68% inside box 32% outside box
Toluca Avg. per game
Total shots 21.33
Blocked 5.33
63% off target 38% on target
61% inside box 39% outside box

Passes

Leon

Total 307.5
Accurate 227 (—%)
Possession 35%

Toluca

Total 494.33
Accurate 427.33 (27%)
Possession 63%

Trends

8 match streak · Liga MX

Leon have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Liga MX.

3 match streak · Liga MX

Toluca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Liga MX.

4 match streak · Liga MX

Toluca have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Liga MX.

4 match streak · Liga MX

Toluca have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Liga MX.

4 match streak · Liga MX

Both teams have scored in each of Toluca's last 4 matches in Liga MX.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Leon

A · 02 Nov

Cruz Azul

5/5

H · 09 Nov

Guadalajara Chivas

5/5

A · 21 Nov

Santos Laguna

3/5

Toluca

A · 01 Nov

Club America

5/5

H · 08 Nov

Monterrey

4/5

A · 21 Nov

CF Pachuca

2/5

Leon vs Toluca Prediction & Tips

Leon will host Toluca in their Liga MX encounter at Estadio León on October 25, 2026.

Leon entering the match after won 3 of their last 6 outings and holding an impressive home record, boasting 3 victories from 4 games on their own ground this season.

Toluca, meanwhile, have displayed resilience with 3 draws in their last 6 matches, indicating a determined approach to tough fixtures.

Of their last 5 meetings, Leon have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 against Toluca.

Prediction: Toluca to win with probability 48%.

M

Published by

Micah

Football Analyst & Predictor · Todayspredict